Sunderland vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
PNE
0 - 2
SUN
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
BCF
0 - 0
SUN
38%
24%
38%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
3 - 0
SUN
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
SUN
3 - 1
MID
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
TOT
1 - 1
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1911 |
BRA
0 - 1
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 2
ASV
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 0
BBU
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
SHE
0 - 2
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |