Sunderland vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 5
MAC
59%
19%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 3
SUN
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 5
BCF
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 1
SUN
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1907 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOT
78%
14%
8%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1907 |
ARS
1 - 1
NOT
74%
16%
11%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |