Sunderland vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 5
BCF
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 1
SUN
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 3
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
4 - 2
MID
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
EVE
4 - 1
SUN
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 0
LIV
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
4 - 1
ARS
46%
23%
31%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 2
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |