Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
LIV
3 - 1
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
EVE
0 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1924 |
BUR
1 - 2
SUN
47%
23%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
0 - 1
EVE
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
2 - 1
WHU
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1924 |
SHE
1 - 2
NTT
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
32%
32%
36%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1924 |
NTT
0 - 2
ASV
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |