Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 0
LIV
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
ASV
0 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
SHE
1 - 1
SUN
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
SUN
2 - 2
SHE
63%
19%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 0
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
BOL
4 - 0
NTT
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 3
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1924 |
PNE
3 - 1
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |