Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1910 |
BBU
0 - 1
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1910 |
SUN
1 - 1
BRA
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
ARS
0 - 0
SUN
33%
25%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
SUN
2 - 1
OLD
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1910 |
SUN
3 - 2
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1910 |
NTT
3 - 1
ASV
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 3
PNE
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1910 |
SHE
0 - 1
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 2
BCF
59%
20%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1910 |
LIV
2 - 3
NTT
70%
17%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |