Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
BBU
0 - 0
SUN
53%
22%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
SUN
4 - 0
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
BOL
2 - 1
SUN
41%
23%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1909 |
SUN
6 - 2
ARS
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1909 |
SHE
3 - 0
SUN
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1909 |
MID
2 - 1
NTT
60%
21%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1909 |
NTT
3 - 3
BCF
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1909 |
NTT
0 - 4
BBU
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1909 |
CHL
0 - 1
NTT
62%
20%
18%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 0
BOL
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |