Sunderland vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
SUN
1 - 1
CRE
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WIG
0 - 0
SUN
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
CRY
3 - 0
SUN
38%
26%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SUN
0 - 1
WBA
46%
28%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
IPS
1 - 0
SUN
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2004 |
NOR
3 - 2
PNE
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
WAT
1 - 2
NOR
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
5 - 0
WAL
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
REA
0 - 1
NOR
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 0
WIG
46%
27%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |