Sunderland vs Northwich Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
FUL
2 - 1
SUN
66%
20%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
SUN
0 - 1
EVE
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
SUN
0 - 0
BOL
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 0
SUN
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
TOT
3 - 2
SUN
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 1
DRO
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
RFC
2 - 0
NOR
39%
25%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2005 |
DRO
4 - 3
NOR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 1
WOK
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
LEI
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |