Sunderland vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
40%
29%
31%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
SUN
2 - 1
SHE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 1
CRY
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
BBU
2 - 0
SUN
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1984 |
NEW
0 - 1
PLY
59%
19%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1984 |
PLY
2 - 2
NEW
61%
19%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1983 |
EVE
2 - 1
NEW
94%
4%
2%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1983 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
6%
18%
77%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
NEW
0 - 1
CZJ
22%
23%
54%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |