Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
SUN
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
HIB
0 - 0
SUN
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
WHU
0 - 3
SUN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 3
WOL
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 2
SUN
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 0
ARS
21%
21%
58%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
LEE
3 - 2
NEW
38%
25%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 0
NEW
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
NEW
3 - 3
WBA
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CHL
2 - 2
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | +1 |