Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
SUN
1 - 2
LEE
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
ARS
4 - 1
SUN
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
TRA
1 - 0
SUN
30%
24%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
WIM
1 - 0
SUN
35%
26%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
SUN
2 - 2
MUD
20%
23%
57%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2000 |
BBU
1 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
WIM
2 - 0
NEW
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
NEW
5 - 0
SOU
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
NEW
4 - 1
SHE
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
NEW
2 - 2
WHU
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |