Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
EVE
3 - 0
SUN
65%
20%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 2
LEE
37%
28%
34%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
SUN
2 - 3
CHL
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1967 |
SOU
3 - 2
SUN
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 1
SUN
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
1 - 1
LIV
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1967 |
SOU
0 - 0
NEW
60%
20%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1967 |
NEW
2 - 2
MUD
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1967 |
TOT
1 - 1
NEW
76%
15%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |