Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
17.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1928 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
63%
19%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
HUR
4 - 2
SUN
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
SUN
2 - 3
ASV
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
OPA
3 - 5
SUN
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 0
BCF
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1928 |
NEW
7 - 5
ASV
64%
19%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1928 |
SHW
0 - 0
NEW
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 2
BOL
59%
21%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1928 |
BBU
1 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1928 |
NEW
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |