Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1920 |
NEW
6 - 1
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1920 |
SUN
2 - 1
HUR
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
HUR
0 - 0
SUN
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
SUN
2 - 0
BBU
60%
21%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
BBU
2 - 0
SUN
53%
21%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1920 |
NEW
6 - 1
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1920 |
SHE
0 - 3
NEW
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1920 |
NEW
3 - 0
SHE
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1920 |
PNE
3 - 2
NEW
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1920 |
NEW
4 - 2
PNE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |