Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
SUN
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
BOL
1 - 0
SUN
42%
23%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
36%
24%
39%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
MID
0 - 1
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
NEW
1 - 0
PNE
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
PNE
2 - 3
NEW
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1919 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRA
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1919 |
BRA
0 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |