Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
2 - 5
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
TOT
0 - 6
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
BRA
3 - 1
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHL
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
2 - 5
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOT
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1914 |
BBU
2 - 3
NEW
76%
15%
9%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1914 |
NEW
1 - 2
BOL
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1914 |
MUD
1 - 0
NEW
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |