Sunderland vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
DER
1 - 1
SUN
43%
24%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1907 |
BBU
2 - 1
SUN
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
STO
76%
15%
10%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1907 |
SUN
0 - 1
SHW
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
SHW
0 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 2
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1907 |
PNE
2 - 2
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
4 - 0
MID
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
NEW
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1907 |
NEW
3 - 2
BCF
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |