Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PLY
3 - 2
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 3
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUR
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
4 - 0
SHW
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
PNE
2 - 0
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MID
1 - 1
PNE
56%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
MID
21%
24%
56%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
MID
0 - 5
STO
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MID
2 - 2
OPA
54%
25%
22%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DER
1 - 0
MID
25%
24%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |