Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
MID
1 - 3
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 1
BUR
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1924 |
LIV
4 - 2
SUN
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
BUR
0 - 3
SUN
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
SUN
27%
28%
44%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1924 |
MID
1 - 1
MAC
46%
25%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1924 |
MID
1 - 3
SUN
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1924 |
BOL
2 - 0
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1924 |
MID
1 - 2
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1924 |
MID
2 - 0
BBU
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |