Sunderland vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
TOT
1 - 1
SUN
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
BRI
1 - 1
SUN
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
SUN
1 - 2
SHW
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
EVE
2 - 2
SUN
54%
22%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 0
MAC
72%
17%
12%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MID
0 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
SHE
2 - 1
MID
70%
17%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 1
BCF
60%
20%
21%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1911 |
LIV
3 - 0
MID
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1911 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |