Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
59.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LIV
2 - 2
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SUN
0 - 1
MAC
9%
19%
73%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 1
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TOT
4 - 1
SUN
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
SWA
2 - 4
SUN
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CHL
1 - 1
MUD
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
MUD
3 - 0
STO
55%
25%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
DER
1 - 3
MUD
19%
23%
58%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MUD
0 - 1
SOU
53%
25%
21%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 1
MUD
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |