Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
61.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
WHU
2 - 0
SUN
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 2
WIG
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 1
TOT
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2009 |
LIV
2 - 0
SUN
76%
16%
7%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 2
FCP
71%
18%
11%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
MUD
3 - 2
ASV
72%
18%
11%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FUL
2 - 0
MUD
18%
24%
58%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
MUD
1 - 4
LIV
60%
23%
18%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
MUD
2 - 0
INT
65%
21%
15%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |