FA Cup 1/16
Global 0-3
Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
53.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
SUN
1 - 2
MIL
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
SUN
4 - 2
LEE
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1986 |
SUN
2 - 0
NEW
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
MID
2 - 0
SUN
40%
29%
31%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1986 |
MUD
2 - 3
NTT
61%
22%
17%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
OXF
1 - 3
MUD
25%
25%
51%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1986 |
MUD
2 - 0
ROC
81%
14%
5%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
75%
17%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
EVE
3 - 1
MUD
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |