Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
SUN
0 - 2
LIV
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
LEE
1 - 0
SUN
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
SUN
0 - 2
TOT
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
NOT
2 - 0
SUN
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
SUN
0 - 0
COV
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
MUD
2 - 1
NOT
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
LIV
1 - 2
MUD
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
MUD
1 - 0
MID
66%
21%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
MUD
1 - 1
BIR
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
MAC
0 - 0
MUD
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |