Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
49.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1969 |
SHW
2 - 0
SUN
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1969 |
SUN
0 - 3
STO
42%
26%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1969 |
SUN
2 - 1
IPS
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
WOL
1 - 0
SUN
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
SUN
2 - 2
SOU
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1969 |
MUD
0 - 0
WOL
68%
19%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1969 |
MUD
2 - 2
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1969 |
LIV
1 - 4
MUD
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1969 |
MUD
0 - 2
CHL
53%
24%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1969 |
MAC
2 - 1
MUD
61%
21%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |