Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1954 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHL
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
BPO
3 - 0
SUN
50%
22%
28%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
SUN
3 - 1
OPA
54%
21%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
ARS
1 - 4
SUN
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
SUN
5 - 0
CAR
65%
19%
15%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1954 |
BUR
2 - 0
MUD
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1954 |
MUD
2 - 0
TOT
67%
18%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1954 |
PNE
1 - 3
MUD
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1954 |
MUD
1 - 5
BOL
69%
18%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1954 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |