Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
WBA
0 - 2
SUN
40%
23%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
SUN
6 - 1
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 2
SUN
30%
26%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
60%
21%
18%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
STO
2 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1950 |
OPA
1 - 3
MUD
57%
21%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1950 |
MUD
3 - 3
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1950 |
MUD
3 - 2
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1950 |
STO
3 - 1
MUD
41%
25%
34%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
MUD
1 - 0
CHL
70%
17%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |