Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
9.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
SUN
4 - 2
LIV
73%
15%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1937 |
SUN
1 - 3
MAC
62%
18%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1937 |
GRI
6 - 0
SUN
51%
20%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
SUN
2 - 1
MIL
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHA
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1937 |
MUD
2 - 1
MID
38%
24%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
BIR
2 - 2
MUD
63%
20%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEE
45%
22%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1937 |
EVE
2 - 3
MUD
78%
13%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
LIV
2 - 0
MUD
68%
17%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |