Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
SUN
1 - 0
BIR
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
NEW
2 - 0
SUN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1931 |
GRI
2 - 1
SUN
48%
22%
30%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
SUN
3 - 1
BOL
66%
18%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1931 |
HUR
2 - 0
SUN
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1931 |
LIV
1 - 1
MUD
70%
17%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1931 |
MUD
1 - 2
SHE
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1931 |
MUD
0 - 0
LEI
35%
24%
41%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1931 |
BPO
5 - 1
MUD
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1931 |
MUD
0 - 1
OPA
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |