Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
LEI
1 - 0
SUN
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
SUN
1 - 3
ASV
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
BCF
1 - 3
SUN
50%
21%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
SUN
5 - 2
NEW
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
CAR
0 - 1
SUN
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1928 |
MUD
0 - 1
DER
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1928 |
SHW
2 - 1
MUD
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
HUR
1 - 2
MUD
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
MUD
1 - 0
BIR
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |