Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
NEW
3 - 1
SUN
60%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
SUN
3 - 0
HUR
55%
21%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
TOT
3 - 1
SUN
43%
24%
34%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
ASV
4 - 2
SUN
54%
21%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
SUN
0 - 1
SHE
66%
17%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1927 |
MUD
2 - 0
OPA
62%
20%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1927 |
WHU
1 - 2
MUD
66%
19%
16%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1927 |
MUD
5 - 0
DER
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1927 |
MUD
2 - 2
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1927 |
EVE
5 - 2
MUD
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |