Sunderland vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
SUN
2 - 3
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 0
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1922 |
MUD
0 - 1
NEW
52%
27%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
SHE
3 - 0
MUD
52%
24%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
NEW
3 - 0
MUD
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1921 |
BUR
4 - 2
MUD
71%
16%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
MUD
0 - 1
BUR
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |