Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1937 |
GRI
6 - 0
SUN
51%
20%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
SUN
2 - 1
MIL
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
SUN
1 - 0
CHA
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1937 |
WOL
1 - 1
SUN
57%
19%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
STO
5 - 3
SUN
42%
23%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1937 |
MAC
2 - 0
ARS
53%
21%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1937 |
MAC
2 - 1
BRE
66%
18%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1937 |
BRE
2 - 6
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1937 |
MAC
5 - 1
LIV
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1937 |
MAC
2 - 2
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |