Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
SUN
0 - 0
DER
57%
19%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
DER
3 - 1
SUN
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
WHU
2 - 2
SUN
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
SUN
3 - 1
SHW
53%
20%
27%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
GRI
1 - 3
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1932 |
MAC
3 - 3
OPA
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1931 |
OPA
3 - 2
MAC
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1931 |
SHW
1 - 1
MAC
67%
17%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1931 |
MAC
2 - 1
BOL
62%
18%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1931 |
CHL
3 - 2
MAC
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |