Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
BIR
1 - 0
SUN
46%
24%
30%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 0
OPA
71%
16%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
SUN
4 - 3
SHW
65%
18%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1929 |
DER
0 - 0
SUN
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1929 |
SUN
5 - 1
ARS
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1929 |
MAC
1 - 2
BBU
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1929 |
ARS
0 - 0
MAC
57%
20%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1929 |
MAC
6 - 4
BCF
68%
17%
15%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1929 |
MAC
5 - 1
EVE
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1929 |
HUR
2 - 2
MAC
64%
19%
17%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |