Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
EVE
3 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 0
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
1 - 2
EVE
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
SUN
5 - 0
WBA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
WBA
2 - 1
SUN
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 1922 |
MAC
2 - 1
HUR
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
3 - 0
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1921 |
HUR
2 - 0
MAC
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1921 |
EVE
2 - 2
MAC
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1921 |
MAC
2 - 1
EVE
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |