Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
DER
1 - 1
SUN
39%
24%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 2
SHE
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
MID
3 - 4
SUN
31%
26%
44%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
55%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
LIV
1 - 3
SUN
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 2
BBU
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1913 |
BRA
3 - 2
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1913 |
TOT
3 - 1
MAC
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1913 |
MAC
1 - 2
DER
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1913 |
SHE
1 - 3
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |