Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
SUN
1 - 0
SHE
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1913 |
NEW
0 - 3
SUN
54%
21%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
MUD
1 - 3
SUN
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1913 |
NEW
2 - 2
SUN
56%
20%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
SUN
0 - 0
NEW
70%
16%
14%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1913 |
MID
0 - 0
MAC
53%
22%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1913 |
BRA
2 - 1
MAC
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
2 - 0
OLD
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1913 |
MAC
0 - 1
ARS
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1913 |
CHL
2 - 1
MAC
44%
25%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |