Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
NOT
0 - 0
SUN
46%
23%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1909 |
SHW
2 - 5
SUN
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1909 |
BBU
8 - 1
SUN
49%
22%
29%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
4 - 3
SUN
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 0
SHW
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
MID
3 - 0
MAC
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1909 |
MAC
4 - 1
PNE
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1909 |
LEI
3 - 1
MAC
31%
23%
46%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |