Sunderland vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 3
SUN
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
3 - 5
BCF
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
SHW
2 - 1
SUN
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 3
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 3
SUN
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1907 |
BBU
4 - 0
MAC
46%
22%
32%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
MAC
2 - 2
STO
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
MAC
1 - 1
BOL
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |