Sunderland vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BUR
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
ARS
1 - 1
SUN
62%
19%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
0 - 1
BIR
54%
21%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
CAR
1 - 0
SUN
52%
22%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
SUN
1 - 3
CHL
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 2
ARS
44%
23%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
MUD
3 - 1
LUT
79%
13%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
3 - 0
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1956 |
CHL
4 - 1
LUT
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1956 |
LUT
1 - 1
PNE
46%
23%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |