League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Sunderland vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 1
NOR
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
PLY
1 - 3
SUN
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
0 - 1
BPO
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUN
3 - 3
STA
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
SUN
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 0
AFC
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
CHA
3 - 1
LIN
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
POS
3 - 3
LIN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
STF
0 - 1
LIN
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |