Sunderland vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
ROT
0 - 2
SUN
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
SUN
3 - 0
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
SUN
2 - 1
WIM
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
WHU
3 - 2
SUN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
COV
1 - 1
SUN
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2003 |
OLD
0 - 2
HAR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
HAR
1 - 2
BAR
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
HAR
0 - 0
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
QPR
4 - 1
HAR
57%
24%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
BUR
0 - 1
HAR
28%
24%
49%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |