Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
MID
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PLY
3 - 2
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OPA
1 - 3
SUN
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
BUR
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
4 - 0
SHW
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
1 - 0
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
DER
1 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
BRI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
DER
15%
21%
64%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
DER
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |