Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
MUD
5 - 0
SUN
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1996 |
SUN
3 - 0
CHL
26%
28%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
SUN
1 - 3
WIM
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 3
SUN
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
SUN
1 - 1
SHW
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1996 |
SOU
3 - 1
DER
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1996 |
DER
0 - 1
EVE
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
ARS
2 - 2
DER
76%
17%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1996 |
DER
2 - 1
COV
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
WHU
1 - 1
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |