Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
28.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
SHE
0 - 2
SUN
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1990 |
NTT
2 - 0
SUN
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
SUN
0 - 0
COV
31%
30%
39%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 1
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
DER
6 - 0
SUN
67%
19%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1990 |
SHW
1 - 1
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1990 |
DER
2 - 1
NTT
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1990 |
LEE
3 - 0
DER
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1990 |
DER
0 - 0
MUD
32%
28%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1990 |
DER
2 - 1
LUT
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |