Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
20.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1952 |
ASV
3 - 0
SUN
60%
19%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1952 |
ARS
1 - 2
SUN
70%
16%
14%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1952 |
WBA
1 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1952 |
SUN
3 - 1
MID
57%
21%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1952 |
DER
3 - 2
CHL
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1952 |
DER
0 - 1
ASV
52%
21%
26%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1952 |
CHL
1 - 1
DER
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1952 |
BOL
2 - 0
DER
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1952 |
DER
1 - 1
CHL
70%
17%
14%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |