Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
BIR
1 - 2
SUN
30%
26%
45%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
SUN
2 - 0
BOL
60%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
STO
2 - 1
SUN
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
SUN
3 - 0
STO
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
ARS
5 - 0
SUN
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1950 |
DER
1 - 1
BUR
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1949 |
STO
1 - 3
DER
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1949 |
DER
4 - 1
BIR
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1949 |
BIR
2 - 2
DER
24%
25%
51%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1949 |
DER
2 - 2
CHL
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |