Sunderland vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
13.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1935 |
HUR
1 - 0
SUN
46%
23%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1935 |
SUN
7 - 2
BOL
76%
13%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1935 |
EVE
0 - 3
SUN
56%
20%
25%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
SUN
2 - 1
MID
71%
15%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
BRE
1 - 5
SUN
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1935 |
DER
2 - 0
GRI
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1935 |
LEE
1 - 0
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1935 |
DER
2 - 0
WBA
61%
18%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1935 |
LIV
0 - 0
DER
65%
18%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1935 |
DER
2 - 2
BIR
70%
16%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |